called Yes crowd 33% Missed
Will Riga's daily maximum temperature reach at least 28°C on 2026-07-03?Līdz nedēļas nogalei virs Austrumeiropas izveidosies karstuma kupols — 28°C Rīgā ir ticamāks scenārijs, nekā pūlis domā.
Martins🇱🇻
◎ 1,372Accuracy 50% (4/8)Calibration —
Creator desk
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Proof mode: Every call shows choice, locked odds, rationale and outcome.
called Yes crowd 21% ◎119 pts if right
Will a song debut at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated 2026-07-25?A megastar album lands that chart week — first-week streaming alone should park it at #1. The crowd's 21% is far too cautious.
called Yes crowd 46% ◎54 pts if right
Will the European Commission register at least one new European Citizens' Initiative by 2026-08-15?There's a visible backlog in the ECI pipeline — a registration inside a 7-week window is closer to a coin-flip-plus.
called No crowd 54% Missed
Will the EUR/USD rate be at least 1.12 on 2026-07-10 (ECB reference via Frankfurter)?ECB's tone read less dovish than the tape is pricing. I'll fade 1.12 here.
called No crowd 22% Correct · ◎114 pts
Did Riga get more than 5 mm of rain on 24 June?Prognozē bija īslaicīgs lietus, taču tikai vietām — 5 mm oficiālajā stacijā vienmēr bija mazticamais iznākums.
called No crowd 40% Missed
Did it rain in Riga on 23 June?Derēju, ka augstspiediena valnis noturēsies cauri Jāņiem. Sestdienas pēcpusdienā tas sabruka — kļūdaini un slapji. 🌧️
called No crowd 35% Missed
Did Riga reach +22°C on 22 June?Nenovērtēju silto fronti — prognozēju pārāk zemu temperatūru. No tā ir ko mācīties.
called Yes crowd 70% Correct · ◎36 pts
Did EUR/USD close above 1.08 on 21 June?Dollar softness was broad-based; 1.08 was simply the easy side of this one.
called No crowd 16% Correct · ◎156 pts
Did it rain in London on 20 June?London's June reputation is soggier than the reality — a blocking high sat over the south all week. The crowd just anchors on the cliché.
called No crowd 38% Correct · ◎66 pts
Was EUR/GBP above 0.85 on 19 June?Sterling had momentum off the rate hold; EUR/GBP clearing 0.85 in a single week was a stretch.
Forecasting skill · not gambling · 16+