Will the EUR/USD rate be at least 1.12 on 2026-07-10 (ECB reference via Frankfurter)?
Forecast whether the ECB reference EUR/USD rate on July 10, 2026 is ≥ 1.12.
Closes in: 6 Jul, 12:00 · Resolves: 11 Jul 2026
Your call
Confidence
The crowd says · 24 predictions
No54%
Yes46%
The background
EUR/USD traded roughly between 1.04 and 1.12 through much of 2023–2025, with swings driven by interest rate differentials and growth data.
- ECB sets reference
- Business days, early afternoon CET
- Base rate
- ~40% weekly chance to touch ≥1.12 in recent years
How this resolves
Resolves YES if the Frankfurter API returns EUR→USD ≥ 1.12 for 2026-07-10 (ECB reference rate); otherwise NO.
Source: Frankfurter (ECB reference rates)