Will Riga's daily maximum temperature reach at least 28°C on 2026-07-03?
Predict if Riga hits 28°C or warmer on July 3, 2026 (daily max temperature).
Resolves: 4 Jul 2026
Outcome
No
16 / 25 correct
Your call
The crowd says · 25 predictions
No64%
Yes36%
Playroom
Who has the nerve to put it on record?
Make the call, argue the edge, come back for the receipt.
leading callNo64%
Live thread
Put your take on record
No is ahead at 64%, but the swing is still live. Best counterargument gets interesting here.
linewatcherI want one hard source, not vibes. The receipt matters more than the split.
Proof check: this room resolves on 4 Jul 2026. If your take depends on a different source, post it before close.
The background
Riga's July average highs are around 22–24°C, but short heatwaves occur some summers. Early July days reaching 28°C are not common but do happen.
- Base rate
- ~30% chance of ≥28°C on a random July day in recent years
How this resolves
Resolves YES if Open-Meteo reports temperature_2m_max ≥ 28.0°C for 2026-07-03 at the given coordinates; otherwise NO.
Source: Open-Meteo