Will a song debut at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated 2026-07-25?
Predict whether the No. 1 song on the Hot 100 dated July 25, 2026 is a first-week debut on the chart.
Closes in: 10 Jul, 12:00 · Resolves: 27 Jul 2026
Your call
Confidence
The crowd says · 24 predictions
No79%
Yes21%
The background
Hot 100 No. 1 debuts have become more common in the streaming era but remain a minority of weeks. Chart dates refer to Billboard's official chart week labels.
- Base rate
- ~15–25% of weeks feature a #1 debut in recent years
How this resolves
Resolves YES if the song ranked #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 dated 2026-07-25 did not appear on the previous week's chart (i.e., it entered the Hot 100 at #1); otherwise NO.
Source: Billboard Charts