Will it rain in Riga on 29 June?
Predict whether at least 1 mm falls that day.
Resolves: 29 Jun 2026
Outcome
No
6 / 8 correct
Your call
The crowd says · 8 predictions
No75%
Yes25%
Playroom
Who has the nerve to put it on record?
Make the call, argue the edge, come back for the receipt.
leading callNo75%
Live thread
Put your take on record
No is ahead at 75%, but the swing is still live. Best counterargument gets interesting here.
linewatcherI want one hard source, not vibes. The receipt matters more than the split.
Proof check: this room resolves on 29 Jun 2026. If your take depends on a different source, post it before close.
The background
Riga sees rain on roughly every other summer day — the long-run base rate is around 45–50%.
- Summer rain-day base rate
- ~48%
How this resolves
Resolves YES if Open-Meteo records ≥1 mm precipitation in Riga on 2026-06-29.
Source: Open-Meteo