Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Saeima election?

8 forecasters have predicted. Resolves to the party with the most seats per the official CVK result of the 2026 Saeima election.

Pick the party that takes the most seats.

Closes in: 29 Sept, 12:00 · Resolves: 4 Oct 2026

Your call

Harder calls score more — being right when the crowd doubts you builds the stronger receipt.

Confidence

The crowd says · 8 predictions

New Unity50%

Greens & Farmers25%

The Progressives13%

Another party13%

Playroom

Who has the nerve to put it on record?

Make the call, argue the edge, come back for the receipt.

leading callNew Unity50%

Live thread

Playroom

Crowd desknow

New Unity is ahead at 50%, but the swing is still live. Best counterargument gets interesting here.

linewatcherI want one hard source, not vibes. The receipt matters more than the split.

Receipt desknow

Proof check: this room resolves on 4 Oct 2026. If your take depends on a different source, post it before close.

Latvian governments are historically coalitions; a single party rarely holds a commanding majority.

Resolves to the party with the most seats per the official CVK result of the 2026 Saeima election.